Austin, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

312
FXUS64 KEWX 031135
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
535 AM CST Mon Feb 3 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 120 AM CST Mon Feb 3 2025

Key Messages:

- Patchy, possibly areas of dense fog early this morning from near
the Coastal Plains to the I-35 corridor into parts of the Hill
Country

- Pleasant unseasonably warm temperatures for early February.

A southerly lower level flow maintains an unseasonably warm and
humid airmass across South Central Texas. Low clouds and fog seen
developing near the coastal plains will spread to the I-35 corridor
into the Hill Country early this morning. Patchy, possibly areas of
dense fog can be expected and will monitor for a Dense Fog Advisory
for those areas. Then, a pattern of low clouds and fog mixing to
afternoon sunshine and returning at night into morning becomes
established going into the long term. The best chances for record or
near record high temperatures are at the Austin sites today, while
the other sites today and all sites on Tuesday are well above
ongoing forecasts. See climate section below. An upper level low
over northeastern Mexico and deep south Texas should remain far
enough south for little or no impacts to our area.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 120 AM CST Mon Feb 3 2025

Key Messages:

- Above normal/near record warm daytime temperatures through Saturday

- Next front to arrive Sunday

The rest of the work week will be a repetitive pattern of morning
clouds and afternoon sun to bring near record MaxT values. Some
patchy morning fog is also possible, but likely to be less
predictable in a moist environment with a healthy boundary layer wind
at night.

At 06Z Sunday, the 00Z deterministic runs are well grouped among the
GFS/ECM/CMC with a WSW flow aloft over TX and a polar front having
moved through the NW one-third of TX. This reinforces the signal that
our next front arrives daytime Sunday with a tricky north-to-south
temperature gradient over our forecast area. Run-to-run trends among
the GFS/ECM are not conclusive, so this leaves us with an easy
decision to go with NBM values for forecast continuity.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 535 AM CST Mon Feb 3 2025

At the I-35 sites, IFR/LIFR CIGs and TEMPO LIFR/possible VLIFR VSBYs
this morning, mix to VFR around midday with southerly winds becoming
moderate, then LIFR/IFR CIGs return overnight with lighter southerly
winds. At KDRT, mainly SKC, however FEW MVFR clouds this morning with
mainly lighter southeasterly winds, then possible MVFR CIGs by early
Tuesday morning with winds more easterly.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 120 AM CST Mon Feb 3 2025

RECORD MAX TEMPERATURES MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
(* INDICATES EARLIER YEARS ALSO; THE MOST RECENT TIE IS LISTED)

       02/03    02/04    02/05    02/06    02/07    02/08

AUS   80/1976  86/2021  83/2008* 81/2017  88/2017  86/2017
ATT   81/2008* 85/2021  82/2008* 83/1925  86/2017  87/2017
SAT   85/1911  85/1954  85/2008  83/1925  86/2017  88/2017
DRT   89/1911  92/2021  86/1953  87/1911  93/1937  90/2017

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              81  64  81  65 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  81  64  81  65 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     82  64  82  65 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            82  63  79  63 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           85  59  82  63 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        80  64  79  65 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             82  61  81  62 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        81  64  81  64 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   80  65  81  65 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       81  64  81  65 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           83  65  83  65 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...04
Long-Term...18
Aviation...04